Absolutes are typically mythical, being analogous to sasquatch and E.T. Trends and developments are rarely linear.
There are usually pros and cons in everything. Benefits and hazards are built into most things. Even an accelerating race car hesitates momentarily before it gathers more speed. That is the nature of things.
Artificial Intelligence has done a lot of good and will continue to do a lot of good. It is not for nothing, however, that many of the smartest voices of the scientific community warn us about the dangers of AI. Many of these forebodings are unprecedented and cataclysmic. Somewhere in-between, and more imminent, is the tectonic shift to our day-to-day lives that is happening right in front of our eyes. Online education platform Chegg has lost half a million paid subscribers, its market cap has crashed from $15 billion (US) to $300 million and it has laid off 25% of its employees. What will this do for authors?
True Artificial Intelligence, not the imposter AI that everyone and anybody is touting these days, following the training phase learns independently, benefits from advanced machine learning algorithms and deep neural networks, such as deep learning, and improves without direct human input. Certain AI models, like transformer-based architectures (the ‘T’ in GPT) rely on data to improve their ability to reply and make (better) predictions overtime. This is what makes this technology different from anything that has come before it. It is self-reinforcing and can be unleashed to run independently. Change after change in history, including a variety of technologies, has moved the landscape, made certain skills and jobs redundant while creating others. Think of a bridge replacing a ferry. Computers replacing typewriters. Cloud-based software (SAAS) replacing dedicated workstations, among others. This one is different.
With that said, it would be both societal and personal mistakes to stay away and try to close the stable door after the AI-driven, robotic horse has bolted. Sticking one’s head in the sand is not the solution. More likely, not making an effort and attempting to learn passively is not adequate. It is counterproductive. The fact of the matter is, and not many would admit it, that AI is not well understood even by the scientists and programmers at some of the best-known tech organizations of today. In such an environment, the most sane way to proceed, is to counterintuitively lift the lid, bring AI to the masses, give everyone every opportunity to use the tech, be educated on it and make it publicly sourced. Legislation is desirable, and necessary, because guardrails and moats do not build themselves, but even more powerful is a public taught to understand what AI is, what it is not, what it does, what it does not do and transparently knows where and how this technology is deployed. Shining a light, embracing and understanding is the best antidote to ignorance and the best way to insulate oneself from becoming redundant thanks to AI – or any change for that matter.
Things That Need To Go Away: Being Scared Of AI And Trying To Dock